Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.003898 0.004100 0.004307 0.004535 0.004781 0.005037 0.005324
2025-06-29 0.003546 0.003846 0.004166 0.004536 0.004951 0.005406 0.005945
2025-07-06 0.003232 0.003573 0.003948 0.004393 0.004909 0.005493 0.006208
2025-07-13 0.003074 0.003453 0.003879 0.004397 0.005014 0.005732 0.006641
2025-07-20 0.002981 0.003396 0.003872 0.004463 0.005184 0.006046 0.007169
2025-07-27 0.002845 0.003278 0.003783 0.004420 0.005214 0.006185 0.007481
2025-08-03 0.002732 0.003181 0.003710 0.004390 0.005253 0.006329 0.007801
2025-08-10 0.002630 0.003090 0.003639 0.004356 0.005280 0.006455 0.008098
2025-08-17 0.002589 0.003070 0.003655 0.004428 0.005443 0.006760 0.008648
2025-08-24 0.002511 0.003002 0.003604 0.004411 0.005488 0.006909 0.008988
2025-08-31 0.002434 0.002931 0.003546 0.004381 0.005511 0.007025 0.009287
2025-09-07 0.002350 0.002848 0.003470 0.004323 0.005491 0.007081 0.009497
2025-09-14 0.002270 0.002768 0.003396 0.004265 0.005471 0.007136 0.009711
2025-09-21 0.002220 0.002724 0.003367 0.004268 0.005534 0.007310 0.010114
2025-09-28 0.002119 0.002612 0.003244 0.004136 0.005401 0.007196 0.010066
2025-10-05 0.002077 0.002575 0.003220 0.004140 0.005461 0.007362 0.010462
2025-10-12 0.002059 0.002570 0.003238 0.004201 0.005603 0.007658 0.011081
2025-10-19 0.002005 0.002515 0.003186 0.004162 0.005598 0.007728 0.011337
2025-10-26 0.001958 0.002468 0.003143 0.004134 0.005607 0.007820 0.011632
2025-11-02 0.001912 0.002421 0.003099 0.004102 0.005608 0.007899 0.011908
2025-11-09 0.001902 0.002423 0.003123 0.004169 0.005760 0.008221 0.012623
2025-11-16 0.001865 0.002386 0.003092 0.004154 0.005786 0.008341 0.012990
2025-11-23 0.001826 0.002345 0.003053 0.004126 0.005790 0.008426 0.013296